Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.099178 4.748268 5.433784 6.208529 7.056591 7.953617 8.971052
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.062420 3.943456 4.938927 6.133494 7.514580 9.048269 10.867110
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.372158 3.381164 4.595060 6.130769 7.989719 10.136653 12.772438
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.842599 2.906215 4.265798 6.071469 8.347603 11.065651 14.499457
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.571881 2.707924 4.236546 6.348243 9.095838 12.461198 16.803974
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.283045 2.429040 4.055534 6.392561 9.528078 13.461742 18.638642
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.134975 2.326872 4.094306 6.714225 10.313420 14.911213 21.051058
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.995182 2.210848 4.092906 6.966773 11.002670 16.244280 23.336547
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.846102 2.051182 4.004000 7.078125 11.491588 17.317783 25.302638
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.686976 1.841848 3.811449 7.015860 11.724903 18.047443 26.827046
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.590953 1.730225 3.759372 7.151235 12.229987 19.140818 28.836292
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.510357 1.632181 3.716608 7.291359 12.737918 20.240745 30.865225
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.399342 1.446116 3.506372 7.160933 12.855325 20.822686 32.237690
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.303421 1.265650 3.282287 6.988351 12.896978 21.294688 33.466995
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.238413 1.140150 3.143026 6.941551 13.119499 22.018505 35.044972
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.182137 1.016473 2.989423 6.855582 13.272100 22.639626 36.486262
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.163338 1.000085 3.051505 7.145681 14.016671 24.121141 39.135859
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.130685 0.924338 2.978300 7.188453 14.367938 25.036234 41.007048
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.120365 0.925104 3.071254 7.534428 15.210635 26.679877 43.917038
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.107027 0.908923 3.123713 7.806471 15.938587 28.164381 46.619284
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.088226 0.860660 3.096268 7.926252 16.419238 29.288944 48.824494
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.065331 0.777688 2.974755 7.858574 16.586129 29.946227 50.370919
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.053741 0.742751 2.965700 8.004812 17.108972 31.140815 52.694422